most overrated running backs of all time

Jones was the better, more efficient runner during the 2020 regular season, and Bernard seems destined to be Tampa's primary passing-down back. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. John Riggins 19. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . Chris "Beanie" Wells. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Adrian Peterson 10. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. McDaniels is someone who deploys multiple backs throughout the course of the game. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. No thanks. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. He's more powerful and understands how to work between the tackles. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? Simpson 13. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. Tarik Cohen, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB49 | Consensus Projections RB47. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. His current draft price is almost his upside. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. Without the volume, it is going to be difficult to get decent fantasy numbers. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB28. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. The Top Ten. . History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. 54 touchdowns. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. O.J. Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Barkley is a workhorse. Curtis Martin 11. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team By Paul Ladewski, updated on September 10, 2021 Matt York / AP Photo Don't you just love it that sports media are so quick to hype athletes as the biggest and the best. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. Dillon a lot, and reports from OTAs have been promising. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Kudos to James Robinson. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. Wait until next year. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. He was used more as a receiver than anything. Henry is all but guaranteed to regress after rushing for over 2,000 yards last season, and he doesnt catch enough passes. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. In 2020, James Conner ranked 36th and Benny Snell ranked 54th in expected yards-per-carry out of 55 qualifiers, a sign of a weak offensive line and scheme. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Never a good idea. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? Without the volume, he is hard to use. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. Barry Sanders 3. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. I'm out. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Single Jamal Lewis 18. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. There have been personnel changes and a change in offensive coordinator to Matt Canada. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Walter Payton 5. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. But then he missed a game, the Bears had a bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Yep. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. But drafting him as a high-upside No. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Even the best backs need help, and Harris is less likely to have consistent holes to run through than any of the backs going around him. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were recently ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Overall: 98 and 96. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. James is the more physically gifted player. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. The current regime did not select Robinson. There's too much risk to draft him as an ever-week starter. Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. The Silence of the Lambs (1991) - Director: Jonathan Demme. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. Andy Hicks: It is hard for an undrafted rookie running back to succeed in the NFL. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. While the opportunity is undeniable, it's risky betting on Davis as the answer. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. Ricky Watters 20. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. Emmitt Smith 4. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. Leave him there for the next guy to take him. I am a heretic in that regard. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? Adrian . At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. His career YPC was 3.9. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. We've seen J.D. Has no highlight reel. It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. They did not pick up his fifth-year option and took Zamir White in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Preseason may help a little. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. His ADP has not shot up the draft boards as quickly as he propelled into fantasy relevance last year due to the almost non-existent target share he received in the passing game. Its easy and lazy to make comparisons to "Todd Gurley under Sean McVay," but that hope is pushing him into a tier of running backs that he does not belong. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost.

Ocean City 9th Street Bridge Cam, Accessory Organs Of The Digestive System Quizlet, What Happened To The Oath With Chuck Rosenberg, How To Get Rid Of Hay Belly In Goats, Articles M